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The Predictioneer'
by Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce | HC | VeryGood
US $6.30
Condition:
“Former library book; May have limited writing in cover pages. Pages are unmarked. ~ ”... Read moreabout condition
Very Good
A book that does not look new and has been read but is in excellent condition. No obvious damage to the cover, with the dust jacket (if applicable) included for hard covers. No missing or damaged pages, no creases or tears, and no underlining/highlighting of text or writing in the margins. May be very minimal identifying marks on the inside cover. Very minimal wear and tear. See the seller’s listing for full details and description of any imperfections.
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Free shipping - Arrives by Christmas
Get it between Thu, Dec 12 and Mon, Dec 16 to 20147.
Located in: Aurora, Illinois, United States
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eBay item number:375323374443
Item specifics
- Condition
- Very Good
- Seller Notes
- Binding
- Hardcover
- Weight
- 1 lbs
- Product Group
- Book
- IsTextBook
- Yes
- ISBN
- 9781400067879
- Subject Area
- Mathematics, Political Science, Psychology, Business & Economics
- Publication Name
- Predictioneer's Game : Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future
- Publisher
- Random House Publishing Group
- Item Length
- 9.5 in
- Subject
- Game Theory, History & Theory, General, Economics / General
- Publication Year
- 2009
- Type
- Textbook
- Format
- Hardcover
- Language
- English
- Item Height
- 1.1 in
- Item Weight
- 17.8 Oz
- Item Width
- 6.4 in
- Number of Pages
- 272 Pages
About this product
Product Identifiers
Publisher
Random House Publishing Group
ISBN-10
1400067871
ISBN-13
9781400067879
eBay Product ID (ePID)
71742990
Product Key Features
Number of Pages
272 Pages
Publication Name
Predictioneer's Game : Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future
Language
English
Subject
Game Theory, History & Theory, General, Economics / General
Publication Year
2009
Type
Textbook
Subject Area
Mathematics, Political Science, Psychology, Business & Economics
Format
Hardcover
Dimensions
Item Height
1.1 in
Item Weight
17.8 Oz
Item Length
9.5 in
Item Width
6.4 in
Additional Product Features
Intended Audience
Trade
LCCN
2009-005686
TitleLeading
The
Dewey Edition
22
Reviews
"Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has demonstrated the power of using game theory and related assumptions of rational and self-seeking behavior in predicting the outcome of important political and legal processes. No one will fail to appreciate and learn from this well-written and always interesting account of his procedures."-Kenneth Arrow, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor Emeritus, Stanford University "The Predictioneer's Gameteaches us that we can predict how a conflict may be resolved if we carefully consider the incentives for all parties in the conflict. In an extraordinary range of applications, from ancient history to tomorrow's headlines, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita demonstrates the power of the game-theoretic approach."-Roger B. Myerson, Nobel Prize-winning economist; Professor, University of Chicago "Organized thought applied to problems can illuminate and help solve them. This easy and enjoyable read is, in many ways, a how-to book for that very purpose."-George P. Shultz, former U.S. Secretary of State "Shakespeare said that poetry was giving 'to airy nothingness a local habitation and a name.' Game theory has never been airy nothingness, but to those who through lack of exposure or (like me) the wrong kind of exposure years ago may have had such thoughts, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita follows Shakespeare's path and opens a new world. In Bueno de Mesquita's hands, game theory becomes a fascinating tool for understanding everything from how to steer the selection of a CEO to great swaths of both the past and future. Don't miss this one if you care about understanding how decisions are madepretty much all decisions."-R. James Woolsey, former Director of Central Intelligence; Annenberg Distinguished Visiting Fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution "Bueno de Mesquita has successfully turned the art of decision-making into a science - and enriched our understanding of politics and business in the process. Dispensing with clichés about rationality and irrationality, he explains how to predict behavior based on the relevant players' interests and contexts. Bueno de Mesquita says he does not have a crystal ball, but this book gives readers the ingredients to build their own."-Parag Khanna, author ofThe Second World: How Emerging Powers are Redefining Global Competition in the 21st Century "Fruitful reading that will make it difficult to look at the world through quite the same eyes as in one's virginal, pre-game theory days."-Kirkus Reviews "Provocative. . . . [this] cogently argued and fascinating brief will appeal to anyone interested in complex national-security issues."-Publishers Weekly
Illustrated
Yes
Dewey Decimal
303.4901/5193
Synopsis
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a master of game theory, which is a fancy label for a simple idea: People compete, and they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory and its insights into human behavior to predict and even engineer political, financial, and personal events. His forecasts, which have been employed by everyone from the CIA to major business firms, have an amazing 90 percent accuracy rate, and in this dazzling and revelatory book he shares his startling methods and lets you play along in a range of high-stakes negotiations and conflicts. Revealing the origins of game theory and the advances made by John Nash, the Nobel Prize¿winning scientist perhaps best known from A Beautiful Mind, Bueno de Mesquita details the controversial and cold-eyed system of calculation that he has since created, one that allows individuals to think strategically about what their opponents want, how much they want it, and how they might react to every move. From there, Bueno de Mesquita games such events as the North Korean disarmament talks and the Middle East peace process and recalls, among other cases, how he correctly predicted which corporate clients of the Arthur Andersen accounting firm were most likely engaged in fraudulent activity (hint: one of them started with an E). And looking as ever to the future, Bueno de Mesquita also demonstrates how game theory can provide successful strategies to combat both global warming (instead of relying on empty regulations, make nations compete in technology) and terror (figure out exactly how much U.S. aid will make Pakistan fight the Taliban). But as Bueno de Mesquita shows, game theory isn't just for saving the world. It can help you in your own life, whether you want to succeed in a lawsuit (lawyers argue too much the merits of the case and question too little the motives of their opponents), elect the CEO of your company (change the system of voting on your board to be more advantageous to your candidate), or even buy a car (start by knowing exactly what you want, call every dealer in a fifty-mile radius, and negotiate only over the phone). Savvy, provocative, and shockingly effective, The Predictioneer's Game will change how you understand the world and manage your future. Life's a game, and how you play is whether you win or lose.
LC Classification Number
HB144.B84 2009
Illustrated by
Mesquita, Bruce Bueno de
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